Updated 7 November 2026

UK SME conditions

The few official numbers that change what an SME should plan for, in one place. Each one is shown with its source and a note on what it means for growing, borrowing and selling.

The short version. Borrowing has just become dearer: Bank Rate rose to 4.00% this week, the first rise since August 2023. Inflation is 3.5%, wage costs step up again in April 2027 and employer NICs are at 15%. Company insolvencies are lower than a year ago, but still high. For most SMEs that means tighter margins and a lender who looks harder at interest cover.

Bank Rate
4.00%
Raised from 3.75% on 5 November 2026 (8 votes to 1)

Most variable-rate SME borrowing reprices off Bank Rate. A 0.25 point rise adds about £375 a year of interest for every £150,000 of variable borrowing. The next decision is on 17 December.

CPI inflation
3.5%
12 months to September 2026

Prices your suppliers charge you. Services inflation is 3.7%, which matters most to businesses where wages are the main cost.

Source: ONS
Services CPI
3.7%
12 months to September 2026

Core CPI, which leaves out food, energy, alcohol and tobacco, is 2.8%. The gap shows how much of the headline rate comes from volatile items.

Source: ONS
National Living Wage
£13.21
From 1 April 2027, up from £12.71 (+3.9%)

For a business with 10 staff on the minimum, that is about £10,400 a year more in wages before employer NICs and pension.

Employer NICs
15%
On pay above the secondary threshold, since April 2025

The threshold was cut to £5,000 at the same time, so the cost of each extra hire is higher than it was before April 2025.

Source: HMRC, GOV.UK
Company insolvencies
1,882
September 2026, England and Wales

49.9 per 10,000 companies in the last 12 months, against 52.8 a year earlier. August 2026 was 1,953. Insolvencies are falling, from a high level.

Where the numbers have been since 2012

Each chart runs from January 2012 to the latest release, except the SME loan rate, which the Bank of England only publishes from January 2016. Hover or tap a chart to read a month. The figures come straight from the Bank of England, the ONS and the Insolvency Service; the links under each chart go to the series.

Bank Rate%
Interest rate on new SME loanseffective rate, %
CPI inflation12-month rate, %
Pay growthaverage weekly earnings, 12-month, %
Unemployment rateaged 16+, seasonally adjusted, %
UK economic outputmonthly output index, 2022 = 100
Company insolvenciescompanies per month, England and Wales, seasonally adjusted
Sterling against the US dollarUS$ per £1, monthly average
Sterling against the euro€ per £1, monthly average

Latest points: Bank Rate to 5 November 2026, SME loan rate, CPI and insolvencies to September 2026, pay growth and unemployment to the three months June to August 2026, output to August 2026, sterling to October 2026. Data as released; the ONS revises its figures. What a weaker or stronger pound or higher rates do to a company's margins is in the free calculator.

What it means for the decision in front of you

If you areLook atWhy
GrowingCPI, services CPI, National Living Wage, employer NICsThese set your cost base. Check that your price rises and your forecast margins allow for the April 2027 wage step and for supplier price increases.
BorrowingBank Rate, insolvenciesBank Rate sets your interest bill. Insolvencies shape how cautious lenders are. Test your interest cover at 1.5 and 2.5 points above today’s rate with the free calculator.
SellingBank Rate, insolvencies, your own marginsBuyers fund purchases with borrowing and price in risk. Higher rates make financing harder. Buyers look closely at margins that have fallen as costs have risen.

Coming up

DateReleasePublished by
17 Nov 2026Company insolvencies, OctoberInsolvency Service
18 Nov 2026Consumer price inflation, OctoberONS
17 Dec 2026Bank Rate decisionBank of England
1 Apr 2027National Living Wage rises to £13.21GOV.UK

Where we get the numbers

Every figure above comes from the body that publishes it, linked in each box. We update this page after each release. We do not forecast, and we do not give a view on where rates or inflation are heading. We show what has been published and what it means for the arithmetic of a business.

The Bank of England and the ONS publish more series than shown here, including effective interest rates on new loans to SMEs and monthly GDP. We will add those once we have a way to keep them current.

See what these numbers do to your business

The free calculator shows what a weaker pound, higher interest rates or a change in sales would do to your margin, profit and interest cover. Free, with no email needed.

Open the free calculator   Business loan review

This page gives general information for UK limited companies and LLPs. It is not advice. Figures are as published at the date shown and may be revised.

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